We Are Nowhere Close To a Public Option

There are daily excited diaries telling us about the new additions to the reconciliation letter. Today's big news Maria Cantwell signed on. I'm all for positivity but this is growing to be absurd. Here is the only list that matters. With 41 Republicans you must not lose 10 Democrats.

Mark Begich
Mark Pryor
Blanche Lincoln
Joe Lieberman
Tom Carper
Bill Nelson
Evan Bayh
Mary Landrieu
Claire Mccaskill
Jon Tester
Max Baucus
Ben Nelson
Kay Hagan
Byron Dorgan
Kent Conrad
Mark Warner
Jim Webb

You gotta have 7 from this list and hold all the rest. Do you think that's likely or even possible? We know 6 of them are for sure nos. That leaves the 7 Public Option heroes as Begich, Baucus, McCaskill, Tester, Hagan, Dorgan and Webb?

The other conversation that none of these cheery diaries are having.
What public option would we be getting?